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Wealth of Nations : DELIVERING TOMORROW Logistics 2050 A Scenario Study

James Allen Dator 외 다수, Deutsche Post AG, 2012년 발간

세부항목 안내표
대분류 키워드 Time Horizon Quality Territorial Scope
Vision · Strategy Logistics 2050년 Not Yet Global

Scenario 보고서

요약

The scenarios were derived by observing the key influencing forces

around us, such as trade and consumption patterns, technological

developments or climate change and considering how they drive

behaviors and shape values. This exercise helps us plausibly sketch

out different shapes that our future could take.

본문

1 Inception 22

 On Looking into the Futures 22 by Professor James Allen Dator

 Winning in an Uncertain Future Through Scenario Planning 27 by Peter Schwartz

2 Imagination 34

 The Project 34

 The Futures 36

Scenario 1: Untamed Economy – Impending Collapse 36

Scenario 2: Mega-efficiency in Megacities 50

Scenario 3: Customized Lifestyles 66

Scenario 4: Paralyzing Protectionism 80

Scenario 5: Global Resilience – Local Adaptation 92

3 Issues 114

4 Implications 144

5 Intelligence 166

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