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Wealth of Nations : Education and Learning Possibilities by the Year 2030

 The Millennium Project,  The Millennium Project, 2014년 발간

세부항목 안내표
대분류 키워드 Time Horizon Quality Territorial Scope
Social Education 2030년 Recommand Global

Scenario 보고서

요약

2030 is 23 years from now (The study was conducted in 2007).

Looking back over the past 23 years can give a sense of the rapidity and magnitude of the changes we experience today and that are likely to accelerate in the future. Twenty­three years ago it was 1984. In 1984 how many would have believed that the Republic of Korea by 2007 would successfully compete with the United States in some areas of the transportation, information, and communications industries? Or that its economy would be larger than Russia’s? Or that many of the world’s brightest youth would be playing computer games created in Korea? The rate of change over the past 23 years seems very fast to many people today, yet the factors that made those changes are accelerating. As a result the changes over the next 23 years will be even greater.

In 1984 there was no European Union, World Trade Organization, International Criminal Court, Space Shuttles serving Russian and American astronauts in the International Space Station, millions of people searching billions of references in less than a second, or cloned sheep. 23 years ago what Ministry of Education had the objective of connecting their school children to the Internet? What Ministry of Education had the objective of preparing students to participate in the global knowledge economy?

Imagine two countries back in 1984. Both were about the same in all things except that one declared a national objective of cooperating with international computer networks to connect their educational systems into an international knowledge system in order to improve education for all in their country. Now, 23 years later – today – which country would be in a better position for the emerging global knowledge economy? And which country would have produced more students ready for today’s complexities and opportunities?

Today educational policymakers face the same kind of choices: to look far ahead seeking emerging educational opportunities or just make moderate innovations that appear creative. Fortunately, the Ministry of Education and Human Resources Development of the Republic of Korea has requested this international assessment of future possibilities for education and learning by the year 2030 to help inform them of their choices for setting better long­range educational policies.

What might surprise us today about 2030?

If we don’t know that something is possible, then we will not try to make it happen.

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What are some of the educational and learning possibilities by the year 2030? What might we do today to take advantage of these emerging possibilities? Since the implementation of new ideas can turn out differently than expected, it is also wise to ask what could make them turn negatively as well as positively.

To answer these questions, the Millennium Project reviewed futurist thought to design a Real Time Delphi which collected the judgments of 213 experts around the world, selected by the Nodes of the Millennium Project.

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- Introduction

- Figure 1: Likelihood of Education Possibilities––year 2030

- Newly Suggested Developments

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