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Wealth of Nations : The Future of Global Poverty in a Multi-Speed World New Estimates of Scale and Location, 2010–2030

Center for Global Development, Center for Global Development, 2013년 발간

세부항목 안내표
대분류 키워드 Time Horizon Quality Territorial Scope
Social Global Poverty in a Multi-Speed 2030년 Recommand Global

Scenario 보고서

요약

The data available for assessing the current status and trends of global poverty has significantly improved. And yet serious contentions remain. At the same time, a set of recent papers has sought to use these datasets to make poverty projections. Such projections have significant policy implications because they are used to inform debates on the future scale, nature, and objectives of international aid. Unfortunately, those papers have not yielded a consistent picture of future (and even current) global poverty even though their estimates are all derived from the same basic (PPP and distribution) datasets. In this paper we introduce a new model of growth, inequality and poverty. This new model allows for systematic, methodologically transparent, comparative analyses of estimates of poverty in the future based on a range of different methods. We use the model to explore how estimates of the scale and location of future poverty varies by approach.


본문

1. Introduction 

2. Estimating global poverty 

3. A new model to compare method and assumptions 

4. Estimating global poverty in the future 

5. Conclusions 

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