Richard Silberglitt et al., RAND, 2006년 발간
대분류 | 키워드 | Time Horizon | Quality | Territorial Scope |
---|---|---|---|---|
Technological | Global Science, Technolgy Revolution 2020, Depth Analyses | 2020년 | Not Yet | Global |
The potential for significant and dominant global impacts by 2020. As RAND found in its prior study for the NIC, The Global Technology Revolution(2001), technology will continue to accelerate and integrate developments from multiple scientific disciplines in a “convergence” that will have profound effects on society.
Preface............................................................................................................................... iii
Foreword............................................................................................................................ v
Figures............................................................................................................................. xiii
Tables............................................................................................................................... xv
Summary ......................................................................................................................... xvii
Technology Applications and Their Impact on Society ............................................. xvii
Regional and International Effects................................................................................ xx
Conclusions................................................................................................................ xxvi
Acknowledgments.......................................................................................................... xxix
Glossary ......................................................................................................................... xxxi
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................... 1
The Global Technology Revolution to 2020 .................................................................. 2
Approach........................................................................................................................ 5
Structure of the Report.................................................................................................... 7
CHAPTER 2 TECHNOLOGY APPLICATIONS AND THEIR EFFECTS .................... 9
Technology Trends and Applications ............................................................................. 9
The Integrated Effect of Technology Development ..................................................... 15
The Potential Effects of Technology Applications in 2020.......................................... 15
Summary of Technology Applications ......................................................................... 33
CHAPTER 3 INTERNATIONAL VARIATION IN TECHNOLOGY APPLICATIONS
AND IMPLEMENTATION............................................................................................. 39
Regional Variation of Technology Application and Implementation........................... 39
Drivers and Barriers to Implementing Technology Applications................................. 41
Problems and Issues and Relevant Technology Applications ...................................... 54
Country Capacity to Acquire Technologies and Drivers, and Barriers to Implementing
Technology Applications .............................................................................................. 62
Determining Country Capacity to Implement Technology Applications Relevant to
Problems and Issues...................................................................................................... 94
Summary of Country Capacities for Technology Implementation............................. 131
CHAPTER 4 CONCLUSIONS ..................................................................................... 135
Accelerated Technology Development Will Continue ............................................... 135
Capability and Need Differences Are Driving Global Technology Revolution
Differences Around the World.................................................................................... 136
Public Policy Issues May Strongly Influence Technology Implementation............... 136
Maintaining Science and Technology Capacity Requires Consideration and Action 137
Capacity Building Is an Essential Component of Development................................. 137
Public Policy Issues Relating to Technology Applications Will Engender Strong Public
Debate ......................................................................................................................... 137
APPENDIX A: BIOTECHNOLOGY, BIONANOTECHNOLOGY, AND
BIOMEDICAL SCIENCE TRENDS TO 2020.............................................................. 139
APPENDIX B: NANOTECHNOLOGY TRENDS TO 2020 ....................................... 155
APPENDIX C: MATERIALS SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING TRENDS TO 2020 169
APPENDIX D: INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY TRENDS TO 2020...................... 179
APPENDIX E: CREATING NEW OPPORTUNITIES FOR IMPROVING EXISTING
APPENDIX F: TECHNOLOGY AND TERRORISM.................................................. 209
APPENDIX G: SECTORAL IMPACTS OF TECHNOLOGY APPLICATIONS....... 215
APPENDIX H: INDEX OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY CAPACITY .............. 225
APPENDIX I: 2005 FREEDOM RATING FOR 29 SELECTED COUNTRIES......... 229
APPENDIX J: HDI RANK, SCORES, AND DEVELOPMENT INDICATOR
STATISTICS FOR 29 SELECTED COUNTRIES........................................................ 231
APPENDIX K: KNOWLEDGE ASSESSMENT (UNWEIGHTED) FOR SELECTED
COUNTRIES, RANKED BY INNOVATION SCORES .............................................. 235
References...................................................................................................................... 239
ID | 제목 | 카테고리 | Territorial Scope | |
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