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Wealth of Nations : The Future of the Global Financial System

World Economic Forum WEF, World Economic Forum WEF, 2009년 발간

세부항목 안내표
대분류 키워드 Time Horizon Quality Territorial Scope
Economics GDP, Houshold Income, Demography, Debt Level, Savings Rate 없음 Not Yet Global

Scenario 보고서

요약

How might the governance and structure of the global financial system evolve over both the near-term and long-term?

This report explores this question by describing a range of recent macroeconomic shifts in section one, a near-term outlook (up to 2012) for governance and structure in section two and a long-term view (up to 2020) in section three. The near-term outlook is based on analysis of recent shifts in the financial system that have occurred amid the recent market turmoil. The long-term view is based on scenario thinking – a powerful tool that helps policy-makers and business leaders prepare for a range of possible alternative futures in a world defined by uncertainty.

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Contents

Preface ------- 4

Introduction ------- 5

Letter from the Steering Committee ------- 7

Executive summary ------- 8

Section 1: The shifting macroeconomic landscape ------- 11

Section 2: A near-term industry outlook ------- 21

An interventionist regulatory framework ------- 22

Back to basics in banking ------- 25

Restructuring in alternative investments ------- 31

A tale of two insurers ------- 38

Potential winners /losers ------- 41

Section 3: Long-term scenarios for the future

of the global financial system ------- 43

Financial regionalism ------- 53

Re-engineered Western-centrism ------- 57

Fragmented protectionism ------- 61

Rebalanced multilateralism ------- 65

Section 4: Conclusions and next steps ------- 69

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