본문

1. Summary : the world in 2050.................................................................................................1
1.1. Key findings ............................................................................................................. 1
1.2. Projections to 2050 ................................................................................................ 1
1.3. Opportunities and challenges for business ......................................................... 3
1.4. Energy use and climate change : too late for 2 degrees? ................................ 3

2. Introduction .........................................4
2.1. Background on the 2050 reports ................................................................... 4
2.2. Our modelling approach ................................. 4
2.3. What has changed since the January 2011 update? ................................ 5
2.4. Structure of this report  ....................................3.......... 5

3. Key results 
3.1. Relative size of economies ................................................................................................. 6
 3.1.1. G7 versus E7 .................................................................................................................... 6
 3.1.2. China, US and India likely to be dominant global economies by 2050  ............. 8
 3.1.3. Beyond the top 3 countries .......................................................................................... 8
3.2. Relative GDP growth ................................................................................................ 10
3.3. Relative income levels  ............................................ 11
3.4. Focus on Poland and Malaysia ..................................................................... 11
 3.4.1. Commentary on long-term growth projections for Poland ............... 11
 3.4.2. Commentary on long-term growth projections for Malaysia ...................... 13

4. Potential obstacles to sustainable growth and the climate change challenge ............... 14
 4.1. Potential obstacles to sustainable growth ................................................................ 14
 4.2. Energy use and climate change : too late for 2 degrees? .....................................14

5. Implications for businesses ........................................................................... 16
 5.1. Opportunities and challenges for Western companies .................................................. 16
 5.2. Increased focus on emerging consumer markets ........................................................... 16