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Wealth of Nations : _PwC_ World in 2050 The BRICs and Beyond - Prospects, challenges and opportunities

John Hawksworth and Danny Chan, PwC, 2013년 발간

세부항목 안내표
대분류 키워드 Time Horizon Quality Territorial Scope
Political GDP, Demography, Climate Change, Education 2050년 Not Yet Global

Scenario 보고서

요약

This report updates our long-term global economic growth projections, which were last published in January 2011. These are based on a PwC model that takes account of projected trends in demographics, capital investment, education levels and technological progress.The World economy is projected to grow at an average rate of just over 3% per annum from 2011 to 2050, doubling in size by 2032 and nearly doubling again by 2050. 

본문

1. Summary : the world in 2050.................................................................................................1
1.1. Key findings ............................................................................................................. 1
1.2. Projections to 2050 ................................................................................................ 1
1.3. Opportunities and challenges for business ......................................................... 3
1.4. Energy use and climate change : too late for 2 degrees? ................................ 3

2. Introduction .........................................4
2.1. Background on the 2050 reports ................................................................... 4

2.2. Our modelling approach ................................. 4
2.3. What has changed since the January 2011 update? ................................ 5
2.4. Structure of this report  ....................................3.......... 5

3. Key results 
3.1. Relative size of economies ................................................................................................. 6
 3.1.1. G7 versus E7 .................................................................................................................... 6
 3.1.2. China, US and India likely to be dominant global economies by 2050  ............. 8
 3.1.3. Beyond the top 3 countries .......................................................................................... 8
3.2. Relative GDP growth ................................................................................................ 10
3.3. Relative income levels  ............................................ 11
3.4. Focus on Poland and Malaysia ..................................................................... 11
 3.4.1. Commentary on long-term growth projections for Poland ............... 11
 3.4.2. Commentary on long-term growth projections for Malaysia ...................... 13

4. Potential obstacles to sustainable growth and the climate change challenge ............... 14
 4.1. Potential obstacles to sustainable growth ................................................................ 14
 4.2. Energy use and climate change : too late for 2 degrees? .....................................14

5. Implications for businesses ........................................................................... 16
 5.1. Opportunities and challenges for Western companies .................................................. 16
 5.2. Increased focus on emerging consumer markets ........................................................... 16

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