본문바로가기

Wealth of Nations : Southern African Scenarios 2015: Renaissance, Asymmetry or Decline and Decay

South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA), South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA), 2003년 발간

세부항목 안내표
대분류 키워드 Time Horizon Quality Territorial Scope
Social Demography, Globalisation, Religion 없음 Not Yet Global

Scenario 보고서

요약

 The scenarios for Southern Africa 2015 presented here are the outcome of a process funded by the Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA) and undertaken by the South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA) during 2001–03. The views expressed, however, are not necessarily those of SAIIA or CIDA.

본문

Executive summary 1
SECTION ONE
 Introduction and methodology 7
  Process 7
    Key terms 7
    Scenarios in Southern Africa 8
    Environmental scan 11
    Demographics 15
    Education 16
    Health 17
SECTION TWO
   Driving forces over the next five to 15 years 21
   Globalisation 21
    HIV/AIDS, malaria and TB 25
   Demographic impact 25
   Socio-economic impact of HIV/AIDS 26
   The response to the crisis 28
   Malaria and TB 28
    The role of SADC 30
   Improved prospects 31
   Variable geometry? 32
   Table of contents
   The Bretton Woods institutions, aid and development agencies 35
   The HIPC initiative 36
   Aid and development agencies 37
   Economic prospects 41
   Global terrorism: a discontinuity 41
   Global trends 42
   The South African economy as a regional driver 43
   Black economic empowerment and SMME development 43
   Privatisation 45
   Information technology and software development 45
   SADC economic prospects 46
   Trade, investment and infrastructure 55
   South Africa’s trade with Africa and the region 57
   Investment trends 58
   Regional infrastructure 62
   Banking and financial integration 64
   Computer connectivity 64
   Regional infrastructural projects 65
   Mining 69
   A positive driver 69
  Challenges 70
  Regional security 73
  Military security 73
  Small arms 73
  Human insecurity 74
  The regional challenge 77
  The regional response 78
  Political leadership 81
  Agency and structure 81
  South African domestic political leadership 81
  South African regional leadership 82
  SADC countries and democracy 82
  Growing democracy 84
  Tourism 91
  New Partnership for Africa’s Development 95
  Setting the renaissance agenda 95
  The challenge to Nepad 96
SECTION THREE
  Practical policy suggestions 101
  Healthcare 101
  Information, communications and telecommunications 103
  Transport and infrastructure 104
  Table of contents
  Energy 106
  Mining 107
  Tourism and the environment 108
  The banking and financial sectors 109
  Agriculture and rural development 110
  Developing and retaining skills 112
  Attracting investment 114
  Summary and conclusion 117
  Appendix 1: New organisational structure of SADC 119
  Appendix 2: Key SADC statistical tables 121
  Endnotes 123
  Selected glossary of acronymns 126

연관자료

연관자료 list
ID 제목 카테고리 Territorial Scope
연관자료 정보가 없습니다.