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Wealth of Nations : Global MegaCrisis: Four Scenarios, Two Perspectives

William E. Halal and Michael Marien, The Futurist, 2011년 발간

세부항목 안내표
대분류 키워드 Time Horizon Quality Territorial Scope
Political Globalisation, Conflicts 없음 Not Yet Global

Scenario 보고서

요약

Two futurists map out the convergence of multiple global challenges, offering divergent viewpoints—one optimistic and one pessimistic— on the likelihood of successfully meeting these challenges and turning them into global progress.

본문

The Global MegaCrisis : What Is It Ans What Does It look Like?
Some Trends Driving the MegaCrisis 
 - Climate Change, No Matter What.
 - Political Will to Reduce CO2 Is Lacking 
 - Methane May Be Worse Than CO2
 - Freshwater is Becoming More Scarce 
 - Recession Likely to Last for Years 
 - Severe institutional Failures 
 - Cyberwarfare/Cyberterrorism 
 - Weapons of Mass Destruction 
Debating the Global MegaCrisis And the Outcomes 
Scenario 1 : Decline to Disaster 
Scenario 2 : Muddling Down 
Scenario 3 : Muddling Up 
Scenario 4 : Rise to Maturity 
Early Survey Results 
Recently Published Books _ Other perspectives on the Global MegaCrisis 

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