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Wealth of Nations : Technology and Innovation 2025

Joseph A. Engelbrecht et al., Toffler Associates, 2008년 발간

세부항목 안내표
대분류 키워드 Time Horizon Quality Territorial Scope
Technological Innovation 2025, Technology, 2025년 Not Yet Global

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요약

 The image of this future became clearer when we and 40 executives and thought leaders closely examined five specific technology areas and explored their implications for society, business, and government. We examined biotechnology, cyber-technology, nanotechnology, ubiquitous sensing, and wild cards from science and technology. We asked the thought leaders to apply their projections in five crosscutting areas to identify the key technology convergences that would most affect or disrupt society in 2025: economy and wealth, energy and the environment, health and demographics, infrastructure, and governance

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PREFACE................................................................. 2
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY.............................................. 4
INTRODUCTION......................................................... 6
FIVE TECHNOLOGY AREAS...................................... 6
FIVE TYPES OF IMPLICATIONS................................ 8
POTENTIAL DISRUPTIONS....................................... 9
TECHCASTING:
MEASURING TECHNICAL READINESS LEVEL........ 10
TECHCASTING:
FORECASTING TECHNICAL READINESS LEVEL.... 10
BIOTECHNOLOGY.................................................. 12
   Ability to control DNA or bacteria as “factories” for production of materials..................... 12
   Bio-implants or enhancements that provide enhanced human performance............................... 13
   Ability to remotely trigger automatic production of immune responses and medicines within the body via implants or other means........................... 16
NANOTECHNOLOGY.............................................. 17
   Significant proliferation in diversity of high-powered, portable energy generation and storage devices...... 17
   $100 genome sequencing..................................... 18
   Cheap portable water desalinization/purification technology........................................................... 19
   Desktop manufacturing of complex devices............ 21
CYBER-BASED TECHNOLOGY............................... 22
   Persona management/cyber world converging with the physical world......................... 22
   Low cost, high powered computers........................ 24
UBIQUITOUS SENSORS......................................... 27
   Bio/health monitoring............................................ 27
   Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and meteorological sensors in everyday personal devices such as cell phones.................................. 29
WILD CARD TECHNOLOGIES................................. 31
   Solar technology cheap enough to replace oil......... 31
   Carbon neutral energy........................................... 33
   Revolutionary advance in physics........................... 35
   Ability to “hack” people via neural, computer, or other means to attack cognitive function............ 36
CONCLUSION........................................................ 35
APPENDIX I: DEFINITION OF TECHNOLOGY READINESS LEVELS............................................... 36
APPENDIX II: THE TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION 2025 CONFERENCES.............................................. 37
APPENDIX III: TECHNOLOGY 2025 PARTICIPANTS & ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...................................... 38
NOTES.................................................................... 40

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