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Wealth of Nations : Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World

The National Intelligence Council, National Intelligence Council, 2008년 발간

세부항목 안내표
대분류 키워드 Time Horizon Quality Territorial Scope
Political GDP, Energy Consumption, Houshold Income, Demography, Climate Change 없음 Not Yet Global

Scenario 보고서

요약

This is a story with no clear outcome, as illustrated by a series of vignettes we use to map out divergent futures. Although the United States is likely to remain the single most powerful actor, the United States’ relative strength—even in the military realm—will decline and US leverage will become more constrained. At the same time, the extent to which other actors—both state and nonstate—will be willing or able to shoulder increased burdens is unclear. Policymakers and publics will have to cope with a growing demand for multilateral cooperation when the international system will be stressed by the incomplete transition from the old to a still-forming new order.

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Introduction: A Transformed World ------------------ 1
Chapter 1: The Globalizing Economy ----------------- 6
Chapter 2: The Demographics of Discord ----------------- 18
Chapter 3: The New Players ------------------ 28
Chapter 4: Scarcity in the Midst of Plenty? ------------------ 40
Chapter 5: Growing Potential for Conflict ------------------ 60
Chapter 6: Will the International System Be Up to the Challenges? --------- 80
Chapter 7: Power-sharing in a Multipolar World ------------------ 92

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