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Wealth of Nations : China and the World : Scenarios to 2025

Alexander Van de Putte et al., World Economic Forum WEF, 2006년 발간

세부항목 안내표
대분류 키워드 Time Horizon Quality Territorial Scope
Political China, economic develoment, scenarios 2025년 Not Yet Global

Scenario 보고서

요약

China’s economic development over the past two decades has surprised both her critics and
supporters. Since 1978 when China launched its “Four Modernizations” reform process under
the leadership of Deng Xiaoping, growth has averaged 9.5% annually. As a result, China has
climbed in world rankings to become the sixth largest economy in terms of nominal gross
domestic product. Thus in the last few years China has become the focus of much attention. Some
parts of business, academia, government and civil society are more highly engaged in China
than ever before. All need to think about what could happen next. But China’s future is not
merely of interest for experts. China’s impact on global growth, resource allocation, trade and
investment, as well as geopolitical balance has direct consequences for every part of the planet. Therefore this report represents the three scenarios emergy for "China and the World" over the next 20 years based on two core questions and a number of  factors.

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Contents 
Section 1. Preface --------------- 2
Section 2. Executive Sumary ----------------------------------------- 5
Section 3. Regional Ties --------- 11 
Section 4. Unfulfilled Promise --------- 27  
Section 5. New Silk Road --------------- 43
Section 6. Comparing the Three Scenarios ------- 57
Section 7. Conclusion ---------------------------------- 65   
Annex : Recommended Reading --------------------- 68   
Acknowledgements ----------------------------------- 70
Project Team Members ----------------------------- 72

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