요약

China’s economic development over the past two decades has surprised both her critics and
supporters. Since 1978 when China launched its “Four Modernizations” reform process under
the leadership of Deng Xiaoping, growth has averaged 9.5% annually. As a result, China has
climbed in world rankings to become the sixth largest economy in terms of nominal gross
domestic product. Thus in the last few years China has become the focus of much attention. Some
parts of business, academia, government and civil society are more highly engaged in China
than ever before. All need to think about what could happen next. But China’s future is not
merely of interest for experts. China’s impact on global growth, resource allocation, trade and
investment, as well as geopolitical balance has direct consequences for every part of the planet. Therefore this report represents the three scenarios emergy for "China and the World" over the next 20 years based on two core questions and a number of  factors.