Sam Drabble 외 다수, RAND Corporation, 2015년 발간
| 대분류 | 키워드 | Time Horizon | Quality | Territorial Scope |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economics | middle class, inequality | 2030년 | Recommand | Global |
Over recent years, the European Union has experienced a number of challenges. Facing these issues has
required much effort from European policymakers. These reflect the unstable and fast-changing global
environment in which the Union is navigating. In the long term, this may challenge the Union’s
economic and political influence, and perhaps its ideals and values.
Preface ....................................................................................................................................................... 4
Figures ....................................................................................................................................................... 7
Introduction .............................................................................................................................................. 8
1.1. The context for this study and the European Strategy and Policy Analysis System effort ..................... 8
1.2. The methods used for this Research Report designed to set out the evidence base for major
trends .................................................................................................................................................. 9
Chapter 1. Decreasing inequality between countries and the associated rise of the new global
middle class ....................................................................................................................................... 11
1.1. Defining the global middle class ........................................................................................................ 11
1.2. Economic growth and region-specific drivers of middle-class growth ................................................. 16
1.3. Uncertainties and potential alternative scenarios ................................................................................ 18
Chapter 2. Inequality within countries is increasing ............................................................................. 22
2.1. Drivers of inequality .......................................................................................................................... 25
2.2. Necessary conditions, uncertainties and alternatives .......................................................................... 27
Chapter 3. Future uncertainties: the relationship between within-country inequality and global
middle-class growth........................................................................................................................... 29
3.1. Values and the new global middle class: theoretical insights............................................................... 31
3.2. Uncertainty in the evidence on changing values ................................................................................ 31
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